The Saskatchewan Water Security Agency issue their February forecast for spring runoff. This is still an early forecast and late winter and spring weather systems have the potential to change this outlook significantly, but at this point, the threat of flooding along the Souris River is low.
Here’s the excerpt on the Souris River…
Rafferty and Alameda reservoirs were drawn down to their normal drawdown levels prior to February 1. Outflows from Rafferty Reservoir were terminated on October 22, 2014, once the drawdown objective was achieved there. On January 22, 2015, after achieving the drawdown objective at Alameda Reservoir, the outflow was reduced to 0.4 m 3 /s, where it remains today to pass inflows and hold the reservoir near the target level. With limited snow in the basins, it is unlikely that conditions that would yield a 1:10 year or larger runoff event, which would necessitate further drawdowns under the international agreement, will develop. The WSA will actively work to return the reservoirs to their full supply levels during spring runoff, while respecting the international agreement. This will include the diversion of flows from Boundary Reservoir over to Rafferty Reservoir if Boundary fills.
Here’s the link to the complete February Preliminary Runoff Outlook. The news release on the report follows below.